Publications


Below is a list of publications that were supported through the Megalopolitan Coastal Transformation Hub.

1. Sweet, W. V., Hamlington, B. D., Kopp, R. E., Weaver, C. P., Barnard, P. L., Bekaert, D., ... & Zuzak, C. (2022). Global and regional sea level rise scenarios for the United States: Updated mean projections and extreme water level probabilities along U.S. coastlines (NOAA Technical Report NOS 01; p. 111 pp.). National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service.
Access: https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/hazards/sealevelrise/noaa-nos-techrpt01-global-regional-SLR-scenarios-US.pdf

2. Gori, A., Lin, N., Xi, D., & Emanuel, K. (2022). Tropical cyclone climatology change greatly exacerbates US extreme rainfall–surge hazard. Nature Climate Change, 12(2), 171-178.
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-021-01272-7 

3. Gilmore, E. A., Kousky, C., & St. Clair, T. (2022). Climate change will increase local government fiscal stress in the United States. Nature Climate Change, 12(3), 216–218.
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-022-01311-x

4. Lockwood, J. W., Oppenheimer, M., Lin, N., Kopp, R. E., Vecchi, G., & Gori, A. (2022). Correlation between sea-level rise and aspects of future tropical cyclone activity in CMIP6 models. Earth’s Future, 10(4), e2021EF002462.
DOI: 10.1029/2021EF002462

5. Feng, K., Ouyang, M. & Lin, N. (2022). Tropical cyclone-blackout-heatwave compound hazard resilience in a changing climate. Nature Communications, 13(1), 4421.
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-32018-4

6. Kim, H., Villarini, G., Jane, R., Wahl, T., Misra, S., & Michalek, A. (2022). On the generation of high-resolution probabilistic design events capturing the joint occurrence of rainfall and storm surge in coastal basins. International Journal of Climatology, 43( 2), 761– 771.
DOI: 10.1002/joc.7825

7. Bamber, J. L., Oppenheimer, M., Kopp, R. E., Aspinall, W. P., & Cooke, R. M. (2022). Ice Sheet and Climate Processes Driving the Uncertainty in Projections of Future Sea Level Rise: Findings From a Structured Expert Judgement Approach. Earth’s Future, 10(10), e2022EF002772.
DOI: 10.1029/2022EF002772

8. Tenebruso, C., Nichols-O’Neill, S., Lorenzo-Trueba, J., Ciarletta, D. J., & Miselis, J. L. (2022). Undeveloped and developed phases in the centennial evolution of a barrier-marsh-lagoon system: The case of Long Beach Island, New Jersey. Frontiers in Marine Science, 9, 958573.
DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2022.958573

9. Rasmussen, D. J., Kopp, R. E., & Oppenheimer, M. (2022). Coastal Defense Megaprojects in an Era of Sea-Level Rise: Politically Feasible Strategies or Army Corps Fantasies? Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 149(2), 04022077.
DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0001613

10. Gori, A., & Lin, N. (2022). Projecting Compound Flood Hazard Under Climate Change With Physical Models and Joint Probability Methods. Earth’s Future, 10(12), e2022EF003097.
DOI: 10.1029/2022EF003097

11. Lockwood, J. W., Lin, N., Oppenheimer, M., & Lai, C.-Y. (2022). Using Neural Networks to Predict Hurricane Storm Surge and to Assess the Sensitivity of Surge to Storm Characteristics. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127(24), e2022JD037617.
DOI: 10.1029/2022JD037617

12. Gourevitch, J. D., Kousky, C., Liao, Y., Nolte, C., Pollack, A. B., Porter, J. R., & Weill, J. A. (2023). Unpriced climate risk and the potential consequences of overvaluation in US housing markets. Nature Climate Change, 13(3), 250–257.
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01594-8

13. Xi, D., Lin, N., & Gori, A. (2023). Increasing sequential tropical cyclone hazards along the US East and Gulf coasts. Nature Climate Change, 13(3), 258–265.
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01595-7 

14. Hermans, T. H., Malagón-Santos, V., Katsman, C. A., Jane, R. A., Rasmussen, D.J., Hassnoot, M., ... & Slangen, A. B., (2023). The timing of decreasing coastal flood protection due to sea-level rise. Nature Climate Change, 13(4), 359–366.
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01616-5 

15. Dangendorf, S., Hendricks, N., Sun, Q., Klinck, J., Ezer, T., Frederikse, T., ... & Törnqvist, T. E.(2023). Acceleration of U.S. Southeast and Gulf coast sea-level rise amplified by internal climate variability. Nature Communications, 14(1), 1935.
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-37649-9

16. Tebaldi, C., Aðalgeirsdóttir, G., Drijfhout, S., Dunne, J., Edwards, T. L., Fischer, E., ... & Zanis, P. (2023). The hazard components of representative key risks. The physical climate perspective. Climate Risk Management, 40, 100516.
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100516

17. Joyse, K. M., Khan, N. S., Moyer, R. P., Radabaugh, K. R., Hong, I., Chappel, A. R., ... & Horton, B. P. (2023). The characteristics and preservation potential of Hurricane Irma's overwash deposit in southern Florida, USA. Marine Geology, 461, 107077.
DOI:
10.1016/j.margeo.2023.107077

18. Shaw, T. A., Li, T., Ng, T., Cahill, N., Chua, S., Majewski, J. M., ... & Horton, B. P. (2023). Deglacial perspectives of future sea level for Singapore. Communications Earth & Environment, 4(1), 204.
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-023-00868-5

19. Kopp, R.E., Oppenheimer, M., O’Reilly, J.L., Drijfhout, S. S., Edwards, T. L., Fox-Kemper, B., ... & Xiao, C. (2023). Communicating future sea-level rise uncertainty and ambiguity to assessment users. Nature Climate Change, 13(7), 648-660. DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01691-8

20. Depsky, N., I. Bolliger, D. Allen, J. H. Choi, M. Delgado, M. Greenstone, A. Hamidi, T. Houser, R. Kopp, and S. Hsiang (2023). DSCIM-Coastal v1.1: an open-source modeling platform for global impacts of sea level rise. Geoscientific Model Development 16(14), 4331–4366.
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-4331-2023

21. Saintilan, N., Horton, B., Törnqvist, T. E., Ashe, E. L., Khan, N. S., Schuerch, M., ... & Guntenspergen, G. (2023). Widespread retreat of coastal habitat is likely at warming levels above 1.5° C. Nature, 621(7977), 112-119.
DOI: 10.1038/s41586-023-06448-z 

22. Schneider, T., Behera, S., Boccaletti, G., Deser, C., Emanuel, K., Ferrari, R., ... & Yamagata, T. (2023). Harnessing AI and computing to advance climate modelling and prediction. Nature Climate Change, 13(9), 887-889.
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-023-01769-3

23. Enriquez, A. R., Wahl, T., Talke, S. A., Orton, P. M., Booth, J. F., Agulles, M., & Santamaria-Aguilar, S. (2023). MatFlood: an efficient algorithm for mapping flood extent and depth. Environmental Modelling & Software, 169, 105829. DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105829

24. Vousdoukas, M. I., P. Athanasiou, A. Giardino, L. Mentaschi, A. Stocchino, R. E. Kopp, P. Menéndez, M. W. Beck, R. Ranasinghe, and L. Feyen (2023). Small Island Developing States threatened by rising seas even if 1.5°C warming goal is achieved. Nature Sustainability, 6, 1552–1564.
DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100516

25. Sun, Q., Dangendorf, S., Wahl, T., & Thompson, P. R. (2023). Causes of accelerated High-Tide Flooding in the US since 1950. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6(1), 210.
DOI: 10.1038/s41612-023-00538-5

26. Kopp, R. E., Garner, G. G., Hermans, T. H., Jha, S., Kumar, P., Reedy, A., ... & Smith, C. (2023). The Framework for Assessing Changes To Sea-level (FACTS) v1. 0: A Platform for Characterizing Parametric and Structural Uncertainty in Future Global, Relative, and Extreme Sea-Level Change. Geoscientific Model Development, 16(24), 7461-7489.
DOI: 10.5194/gmd-16-7461-2023

27. Xu, L., Feng, K., Lin, N., Perera, A. T. D., Poor, H. V., Xie, L., ... & O’Malley, M. (2024). Resilience of renewable power systems under climate risks. Nature Reviews Electrical Engineering, 1(1), 53-66.
DOI: 10.1038/s44287-023-00003-8 

28. Begmohammadi, A., Blackshaw, C. Y., Lin, N., Gori, A., Wallace, E., Emanuel, K., & Donnelly, J. P. (2024). Integrating Climatological‐Hydrodynamic Modeling and Paleohurricane Records to Assess Storm Surge Risk. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129(1), e2023JC020354.
DOI: 10.1029/2023JC020354

29. Ro, S. H., Li, Y., & Gong, J. (2024). A Machine learning approach for Post-Disaster data curation. Advanced Engineering Informatics, 60, 102427.
DOI: 10.1016/j.aei.2024.102427

30. Lockwood, J. W., Lin, N., Gori, A., & Oppenheimer, M. (2024). Increasing flood hazard posed by tropical cyclone rapid intensification in a changing climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 51(5), e2023GL105624.
DOI:
10.1029/2023GL105624

31. Wang, Y., Josephs, H., Duan, Z., & Gong, J. (2024). The impact of electrical hazards from overhead power lines on urban search and rescue operations during extreme flood events. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 104, 104359.
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104359

32. Camus, P., Haigh, I. D., Quinn, N., Wahl, T., Benson, T., Gouldby, B., ... & Nadal-Caraballo, N. C. (2024). Tracking the spatial footprints of extreme storm surges around the coastline of the UK and Ireland. Weather and Climate Extremes, 44, 100662.
DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100662

33. Pollack, A. B., Helgeson, C., Kousky, C., & Keller, K. (2024). Developing more useful equity measurements for flood-risk management. Nature Sustainability, 7, 823 - 832.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-024-01345-3

34. Joyse, K.M., Walker, J.S., Godfrey, L., Christie, M.A., Shaw, T.A., Corbett, D.R., Kopp, R.E. and Horton, B.P. (2024), The preservation of storm events in the geologic record of New Jersey, USA. J. Quaternary Sci., 39: 801-815.
DOI: 10.1002/jqs.3622

35. Ro, S. H., & Gong, J. (2024). Scalable approach to create annotated disaster image database supporting AI-driven damage assessment. Natural Hazards, 120, 11693–11712.
DOI: 10.1007/s11069-024-06641-x

36. Xi, D., Lin, N., Jing, R., Harr, P., & Oppenheimer, M. (2024). Uncertainties Inherent from Large-Scale Climate Projections in the Statistical Downscaling Projection of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity. Journal of Climate.
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0475.1

37. Lempert, R., Lawrence, J., Kopp, R., Haasnoot, M., Reisinger, A., Grubb, M., & Pasqualino, R. The Use of Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty in the IPCC. Frontiers in Climate, 6, 1380054. 
DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1380054

38. Lockwood, J. W., Oppenheimer, M., Lin, N., & Gourevitch, J. (2024). Socioeconomic distributional impacts of evaluating flood mitigation activities using equity-weighted benefit-cost analysis. Environmental Research Letters, 19(7), 074024.
DOI: 10.1080/21664250.2024.2373482

39. Begmohammadi, A., Wirasaet, D., Lin, N., Dietrich, J. C., Bolster, D., & Kennedy, A. B. (2024). Subgrid modeling for compound flooding in coastal systems. Coastal Engineering Journal, 434 -451.
DOI: 10.1080/21664250.2024.2373482

40. Hintermaier, A., & Lin, N. (2024). An Investigation of Climate Change Effects on Design Wind Speeds along the US East and Gulf Coasts. Journal of Structural Engineering, 150(9), 04024123.
DOI:
10.1061/JSENDH.STENG-11899

42. Xu, L., Lin, N., Xi, D., Feng, K., & Poor, H. V. (2024). Hazard Resistance-Based Spatiotemporal Risk Analysis for Distribution Network Outages During Hurricanes. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.
DOI:  10.1109/TPWRS.2024.3469168

47. Maduwantha, P., Wahl, T., Santamaria-Aguilar, S., Jane, R. A., Booth, J. F., Kim, H., & Villarini, G. (2024). A multivariate statistical framework for mixed populations in compound flood analysis. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4091–4107
DOI: 10.5194/nhess-24-4091-2024

51. Helgeson, C., Keller, K., Nicholas, R. E., Srikrishnan, V., Cooper, C., Smithwick, E. A. H., & Tuana, N. (2024). Integrating values to improve the relevance of climate‐risk research. Earth's Future, 12,e2022EF003025.
DOI: 10.1029/2022EF003025

53. Dadson, Y.A., Bennett-Gayle, D.M., Ramenzoni, V. et al. (2024). Experiences of Immigrants During Disasters in the US: A Systematic Literature Review. J Immigrant Minority Health, 1-15.
DOI: 10.1007/s10903-024-01649-8

55. Xu, L., Zeng, H., Lin, N., Yang, Y., Guo, Q., & Poor, H. V. (2024). Entropic Value-at-Risk Constrained Optimal Power Flow Considering Distribution Network Outages During Extreme Events. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems.
DOI: 10.1109/TPWRS.2024.3498435

Preprints



41-P. Kopp, R. E., Gilmore, E. A., Shwom, R. L., Adler, C., Adams, H., Oppenheimer, M., ... & York, R. (2024). 'Tipping points' confuse and can distract from urgent climate action. ESS Open Archive.
DOI:
10.22541/essoar.170542965.59092060/v1

43-P. Feng, K., Lin, N., Kopp, R. E., Xian, S., & Oppenheimer, M. (2024). Reinforcement learning-based adaptive strategies for climate change adaptation: An application for flood risk management. ESS Open Archive.
DOI: 10.22541/essoar.170914510.03388005/v1

44-P. Lin, N., Feng, K., Gori, A., Xi, D., Ouyang, M., & Oppenheimer, M. (2024). Hurricane Ida’s blackout-heatwave compound hazard risk in a changing climate. Nature Portfolio.
DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-4096843/v1

45-P. Helgeson, C., Auermuller, L., Gayle, D. B., Dangendorf, S., Gilmore, E. A., Keller, K., … Wahl, T. (2024). Exploratory scoping of place-based opportunities for convergence research. OSF Preprints.
DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/z5ue4

46-P. Pollack, A., Santamaria-Aguilar, S., Maduwantha, P., Helgeson, C., Wahl, T., & Keller, K. (2024). Funding rules that promote equity in climate adaptation outcomes. OSF Preprints.
DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/6ewmu

48-P. Chen, Z., Orton, P., Booth, J., Wahl, T., DeGaetano, A., Kaatz, J., & Horton, R. (2024). Influence of Storm Type on Compound Flood Hazard of a Mid-Latitude Coastal-Urban Environment. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 2024, 1-30.
DOI: 10.5194/hess-2024-135

49-P. Xu, L., Lin, N., Poor, H. V., Xi, D., & Perera, A. T. D. (2024). Quantifying cascading power outages during climate extremes considering renewable energy integration. arXiv preprint arXiv:2407.01758.
DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.2407.01758

50-P. Green, J., Haigh, I. D., Quinn, N., Neal, J., Wahl, T., Wood, M., ... & Camus, P. (2024). A Comprehensive Review of Coastal Compound Flooding Literature. arXiv preprint. 
DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.2404.01321

52-P. Pollack, A., Auermuller, L., Burleyson, C., Campbell, J. E., Condon, M., Cooper, C., … Keller, K. (2023, December 10). Investing in open and FAIR practices for more usable and equitable climate-risk research. OSF Preprints.
DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/29nhv

You can also view all MACH Publications supported through award ICER-2103754 in the NSF Public Access Repository (NSF-PAR) by going here.