
Modeling Storm Scenarios for Flood Hazard Analyses
Leads: Pravin Maduwantha, Amirmasoud Amini
Counselors: Ning Lin, Thomas Wahl
Most flood events are not caused by rainfall or storms alone but rather when multiple factors like storm surge, rainfall, and the volume of water flowing through nearby rivers (known as river discharge) combine to create what is known as a compound flood event. This research project, led by Pravin Maduwantha and Amirmasoud Amini, supports the MACH region’s street-level flood hazard analysis LINK TO CIRCLE by generating storm scenarios that are then used as inputs for compound flood models. The team builds a large collection of synthetic, but realistic, storms using physics-based models and statistical techniques. When building these synthetic storm data sets, they focus on how different types of storms, like tropical cyclones and winter storms (nor'easters), produce rain to better understand rainfall patterns and potential impacts to river flows. These estimates are then used in flood model simulations to better understand and prepare for future flood risks.
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