Power System Modeling
Lead: Luo Xu
Supporting Researcher: Aaron Spaulding
Counselors: Radley Horton, Ning Lin, Jie Gong
This research project, led by Luo Xu, focuses on understanding how extreme weather events, particularly hurricanes and heatwaves, affect the electric power grids. By combining models of grid infrastructure damage, operation, and recovery, the research team will quantify the spatiotemporal risk of power outages (both probability and severity) and the dynamics of grid restoration (time and proportion) under climate risks. They will also evaluate the compound hazard risk to electricity power grids, estimating the likelihood of outages for local communities under the current and future hurricane and heatwave scenarios.
Products
Publications
Xu, L., Feng, K., Lin, N., Perera, A. T. D., Poor, H. V., Xie, L., ... & O’Malley, M. (2024). Resilience of renewable power systems under climate risks. Nature Reviews Electrical Engineering, 1(1), 53-66.
DOI: 10.1038/s44287-023-00003-8
Xu, L., Lin, N., Xi, D., Feng, K., & Poor, H. V. (2024). Hazard Resistance-Based Spatiotemporal Risk Analysis for Distribution Network Outages During Hurricanes. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems. 2143-2152.
DOI: 10.1109/TPWRS.2024.3469168
Xu, L., Lin, N., Poor, H. V., Xi, D., & Perera, A. T. D. (2025). Quantifying cascading power outages during climate extremes considering renewable energy integration. Nature Communications, 16(1), 2582
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-57565-4
Xu, L., Zeng, H., Lin, N., Yang, Y., Guo, Q., & Poor, H. V. (2024). Entropic Value-at-Risk Constrained Optimal Power Flow Considering Distribution Network Outages During Extreme Events. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 1184-1187.
DOI: 10.1109/TPWRS.2024.3498435
Xu, L., Zeng, H., Lin, N., Yang, Y., Guo, Q., & Poor, H. V. (2025). Risk-aware electricity dispatch with large-scale distributed renewable integration under climate extremes. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 122(20), e2426620122.
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2426620122
Xu, L., Lin, N., Perera, A. T. D., Poor, H. V., Guo, Q., Sun, H., & Oppenheimer, M. (2025). Cross-sector energy system resilience and interdependence in a changing climate. Joule, 9(6).
DOI: 10.1016/j.joule.2025.101967
Presentations
Xu, L. and Lin, N. (2025). Quantifying Renewable Power System Resilience Under Climate Extremes [Panelist]. IEEE PES Grid EDGE Technologies Conference & Exposition. San Diego, CA.
Xu, L. and Lin, N. (2024). Resilience of renewable-dominated Energy Internet under climate risks. IEEE PES General Meeting. Seattle, WA.
Video
To support the Power Systems Modeling research effort, Aaron Spaulding studies power outages caused by hurricanes (also known as tropical cyclones). Watch the video below to learn more:
MACH in a Minute: Climate Research Project Brief from Aaron Spaulding, Princeton University